Democrat Mark Kelly will be sworn in on Wednesday as Arizona’s junior US senator, finishing the final two years of the term won by the late Sen. John McCain in 2016. Both President-elect Joe Biden and Kelly were certified as the winners of their respective Arizona races on Monday. Their […] Read more »
Trump underperformed in most counties where he held large rallies
As the 2020 campaign wound down, President Donald Trump held rallies across the country to fire up his supporters and get them out to vote. Many saw the rallies as a sign of big enthusiasm for Trump, but the data suggest the visits did not produce the desired impact for […] Read more »
Biden’s Favorability Rises to 55%, Trump’s Dips to 42%
President-elect Joe Biden’s favorability rating has risen six percentage points to 55% since the election compared with his final preelection reading. At the same time, President Donald Trump’s favorability has edged down three points to 42%. CONTINUED Megan Brenan, Gallup Read more »
Trump is leaving minority votes on the table
President Donald Trump appears determined to end this stage of his political career the same way he began it: by promoting a racist conspiracy theory. Just as he began his long march to the White House by touting the racist “birther theory” that Barack Obama was not an American citizen, […] Read more »
Trump Job Approval Down Slightly After Election
President Donald Trump’s first job approval rating after the Nov. 3 election is down slightly, to 43% from 46% measured in the second half of October. … Republicans are largely sticking with Trump, though his 90% job approval rating among his fellow partisans is slightly lower than the 95% measured […] Read more »
All Base All the Time Fails to Deliver
One of the theories given for why pre-election polling underestimated President Trump’s share of the vote was that pollsters failed to anticipate the huge surge in turnout among Trump’s base. One hypothesis is that these voters presented themselves as ambivalent voters — showing less interest in voting than others — […] Read more »