Democrats emerged from the 2020 election with full control of the federal government and a pile of lingering questions. In private, party leaders and strategists have been wrestling with a quandary: Why was President Biden’s convincing victory over Donald J. Trump not accompanied by broad Democratic gains down ballot? With […] Read more »
The Four Concentric Circles of Voters
The current political moment reminds me of the story about the guy who had one foot in a pot of boiling water and the other foot in a bucket of ice. On average, he was quite comfortable. Indeed, in politics, we too often focus on averages—the overall numbers—which even if […] Read more »
A look at the future of the Republican Party
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, former President Donald Trump has been acquitted of impeachment charges. What does that mean for the future of the GOP? Will Trump remain the party’s standard bearer, or will Republicans map out a new course? We discuss. Then, new CDC guidelines are out […] Read more »
New Survey Shows 3 In 5 White Evangelicals Say Joe Biden Wasn’t Legitimately Elected
Christian nationalism has effectively spread so much disinformation that three in five white evangelicals say Biden was not legitimately elected, according to the American Enterprise Institute. Morning Edition, NPR News Read more »
With polarization at a peak, the number of House ‘crossover districts’ is at its lowest in a century
Our project to calculate the 2020 presidential results for all 435 House seats nationwide concludes, appropriately enough, with Pennsylvania, the state whose electoral votes sealed Joe Biden’s victory four days after Election Day. … With figures from the Keystone State in hand, we now know that Biden carried 224 congressional […] Read more »
American democracy at the start of the Biden presidency
U.S. democracy passed a milestone on January 20, 2021 with the inauguration of Joe Biden and Kamala Harris. Donald Trump’s presidency presented unprecedented challenges to this country’s democratic norms and practices. His role in a violent insurrection, sparking a second impeachment has fueled further debate over how to preserve American […] Read more »