Philip Greengard points us to the above-titled news article by Philip Bump. The article was just fine, a reminder of modern-day political polarization. The only thing that bothered me were the graphs. I redrew them. CONT. Andrew Gelman (Columbia U.), Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science Read more »
What history says about crises, approval ratings and a President running for reelection
… The way voters perceive how Trump and his administration are dealing with coronavirus could go a long way towards determining his reelection fate. And we can track that through his approval rating in the coming weeks and months. Trump’s approval rating is the most important datapoint to look at […] Read more »
Public attitudes about the coronavirus response are split along partisan lines
A majority of American voters say they’re worried that someone in their immediate family might catch the coronavirus, and six-in-10 believe the worst is yet to come for the outbreak inside the United States, a new national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll finds. In addition, more than 40 percent say […] Read more »
Biden surge, coronavirus spread force reappraisal of the general election
Former vice president Joe Biden’s sudden emergence as the Democratic front-runner and the disruptions caused by the spreading coronavirus are altering calculations about the shape of a general election campaign that only weeks ago many Democrats feared was tipping in the direction of President Trump. … Biden’s sizable victory in […] Read more »
Older Americans are more worried about coronavirus — unless they’re Republican
… Earlier this week, Quinnipiac University released polling showing that older Americans are, in fact, more likely to express concern about they or someone they know being infected with the virus. … But while older Democrats are far more concerned about it than younger Democrats, older Republicans are about as […] Read more »
Trump Supporters Know Where to Turn in a Crisis: To Him
… In conversations over the course of the past week, as the news and administration action on the virus moved quickly, Mr. Trump’s supporters overwhelmingly have said they trust the president and they trust whom he trusts. They are not, in large part, completely dismissive of the virus, the way […] Read more »