… The way voters perceive how Trump and his administration are dealing with coronavirus could go a long way towards determining his reelection fate. And we can track that through his approval rating in the coming weeks and months.
Trump’s approval rating is the most important datapoint to look at when judging his reelection prospects. Historically, an incumbent’s approval rating is highly correlated with his reelection odds. Even at this point from an election, presidents’ approval ratings are predictive of whether or not they’re reelected. CONT.
Harry Enten, CNN