Donald J. Trump won the presidency by riding an enormous wave of support among white working-class voters. It was always a possibility, but it had looked highly unlikely. Hillary Clinton led in nearly every national poll — and in other surveys in the states worth the requisite 270 electoral votes. […] Read more »
How Trump Won
The places that feel most left behind in a changing America propelled Donald Trump to a stunning victory over Hillary Clinton Tuesday night. In his unexpected win, Trump mobilized enormous margins among rural and exurban voters, and crushing advantages among blue-collar whites. In several cases, he prevented Clinton from making […] Read more »
Has the Balance of Power Shifted From the Rustbelt to the Sunbelt?
Since the photo-finish 2000 presidential election between George W. Bush and Al Gore that introduced the United States to the red-and-blue political map, the struggle between the parties for 270 Electoral College votes has resembled trench warfare. With most states locked down for one party or the other, both sides […] Read more »
One Day Left: Counties to Watch
The Wall Street Journal’s ‘data guru’ Dante Chinni joins Chuck Todd to discuss the deepening fault lines along racial, educational and economic lines and outlines which key counties could decide the outcome of the election. Meet the Press Daily, NBC News Read more »
The Demographic Paradox of the 2016 Election
For all the turmoil, turbulence, and sheer reality-show melodrama of the 2016 presidential campaign, the actual results appear more likely to deepen long-standing trends in the electorate than to shatter them. That’s been one of the paradoxes of this extraordinary election year. With both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton facing […] Read more »
A Changing America Faces A Stark Choice This Election
America is changing. It’s getting browner, as population growth stagnates among whites. And Millennials, who now outnumber baby boomers, are poised to become the dominant political generation of the next 35 years beginning in this election. … America is at an inflection point — politically and culturally. The crosscurrents of […] Read more »