Tuesday Showed the Drawbacks of Trump’s Electoral Bargain

On Tuesday, a divided America returned a divided verdict on the tumultuous first two years of Donald Trump’s presidency. Rather than delivering a “blue wave” or a “red wall,” the election produced a much more divergent result than usual in a midterm. … The evening amounted to a simultaneous repudiation […] Read more »

The two Americas are on a collision course today

Two Americas could render diametrically opposed verdicts on President Donald Trump’s tumultuous first two years in today’s election. From one direction, Trump faces intense antipathy among young people and minority voters and unusually broad resistance among college-educated white voters, especially women. That threatens Republicans with widespread losses in well-educated, often […] Read more »

The battle for the Sun Belt

Opportunity and necessity alike are pushing Democrats to focus more intently on gaining ground across the Sun Belt in next week’s election, from Florida and Georgia in the Southeast to Nevada and Arizona in the Southwest. The opportunity comes from changing demographics: with their young, diverse populations and in most […] Read more »

Trump Is in Triage Mode

… In the final days of the midterm campaign, Trump and other Republicans are focusing their closing arguments on cultural confrontations, from immigration to the bitter confirmation fight over Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh. … GOP candidates appear to have lost faith that they can win the argument with voters […] Read more »

It’s not a blue wave. It’s a realignment of American politics

In next week’s midterm elections, President Donald Trump is poised to put his stamp on each party’s demographic and geographic base of support as surely as he formerly fastened it to one of his hotels. A CNN analysis of the demography of the most competitive districts in the House of […] Read more »

The Coming Clashes Between Democrats and Republicans

Win or lose, the Democratic Party has crossed a threshold in the 2018 election, pointing it toward even more explosive conflict with a Republican Party that Donald Trump is recasting around white racial anxiety. For the first time, white men do not constitute a majority of Democratic candidates in races […] Read more »