Why Black voters are more important in Georgia than in any other state

The current list of swing states in American politics mostly features places where Black voters don’t play an outsize role – states such as Arizona, Nevada and Wisconsin. Even in swing states where Black voters make up at least 10% of the voting public (e.g., Michigan and Pennsylvania), the Black […] Read more »

The Democrats’ Tenuous Hold on the Suburbs

Democrats are feeling good about their prospects in 2024. There appears to be little interest in changing their party’s image, which remains pretty terrible in most voters’ eyes. … The idea seems to be that the suburbs are full of liberal, highly-educated voters who are likely to be permanent recruits […] Read more »

Why we can’t figure out the Hispanic vote

Hispanic voters could easily be the x-factor that determines whether Democrats or Republicans hold Congress in November. In 2020, a rightward shift among some Hispanics—most notably in South Texas and Florida—resulted in a few surprise congressional wins for Republicans and stronger-than-expected support for then-President Trump. In general, the 2020 trend […] Read more »