Canaries in the Coal Mine

Over the past few decades, working class whites – loosely defined as those without college degrees – have been a strikingly reliable indicator of the strength of the two main political parties. These voters are highly volatile and their shifting loyalties are a powerful factor in determining control of Congress […] Read more »

Race Matters: Why Gallup Poll Finds Less Support For President Obama

… Over the past few years, however, polling junkies have noticed something curious: Gallup’s polls have produced results that appear slightly but consistently more negative to President Obama than those produced by other firms. The Huffington Post has conducted an independent analysis that confirms the phenomenon and points to a […] Read more »

Just Like the Gipper

In 1984, Ronald Reagan won the most decisive presidential landslide of the past three decades. It’s a measure of the challenge facing Republicans that to beat Barack Obama, even narrowly, Mitt Romney may need to equal Reagan’s towering performance in one key respect. It’s a measure of the challenge facing […] Read more »