… As Election Day 2012 nears, Obama appears unlikely to come anywhere near to attracting the percentage of overall white voters he did four years ago. But that may not matter because of growth in voter groups much more inclined to back the nation’s first black president, members of minority […] Read more »
2012 U.S. Electorate Looks Like 2008
The composition of the electorate for the 2012 presidential election is looking quite similar to what it was in 2008 as well as 2004, according to an analysis of the demographics of Gallup’s likely voter sample since Oct. 1. Thus, key elements of President Obama’s electoral coalition, such as racial […] Read more »
2012 voters: The deepest racial split since ’88
The 2012 election is shaping up to be more polarized along racial lines than any presidential contest since 1988, with President Obama lagging behind Republican Mitt Romney among white voters by 21 percentage points, a steep drop in support from four years ago. As he did in 2008, Obama gets […] Read more »
Will 2012 see the most divided American electorate ever?
… Four years ago, then-candidate Obama said he could heal the divisions of our country. Those who know anything about voting pattern demographics were suspicious that Obama could accomplish this goal. With this year’s election close at hand, we can now see if the president has come closer to reaching his […] Read more »
Before Debate, Poll Showed Obama Hitting Demographic Targets
If President Obama matches the 80 percent he won in 2008 among nonwhite voters, including African Americans, Hispanics, Asians and others, he can reassemble a national majority by attracting only about 40 percent of whites. As Democrats have become fond of saying, that is a matter of arithmetic, so long […] Read more »
Where Romney Can Find Votes
… Right now, Mr. Romney is close in the polls for the most part because he is running up the numbers in strongly conservative communities. … For him to narrow the gap with Mr. Obama or take the lead, he’ll eventually need to make inroads with voters in those urban, […] Read more »