A new report by Latino Decisions about the growing Hispanic vote in Texas outlines opportunities and challenges for both the Democratic Party and the GOP. Although Hispanics represent a large swath of the electorate, weak turnout levels have undercut their power at the ballot box. At the same time, their […] Read more »
Hawaii Polls Demand a Critical Eye
This weekend’s Honolulu Star-Advertiser Hawaii poll brought a raft of surprising findings. Appointed Democratic Sen. Brian Schatz is trailing Democratic Rep. Colleen Hanabusa in their closely-watched primary matchup, and Democratic Gov. Neil Abercrombie, who appointed Schatz to the Senate and was succeeded in the House by Hanabusa, is losing to […] Read more »
What America’s leftward shift means for elections
With each new poll, it’s becoming clear that the United States is shifting to the left. A majority of Americans now supports same-sex marriage. And legalization of marijuana. And normalization of relations with Cuba. …. The New America has come to power. It’s a coalition of 10 Democratic constituencies that […] Read more »
What This Chevy Commercial Could Teach the GOP
To understand the rolling demographic and cultural trends threatening the GOP in presidential elections, a good place to start might be with the polychromatic ads Chevrolet is running during the Olympics. … Chevy’s latest ads, under the title “The New Us,” celebrate the transformation of the American family into a […] Read more »
Democrats Aim for a 2014 More Like 2012 and 2008
The Democrats’ plan to hold on to their narrow Senate majority goes by the name “Bannock Street project.” It runs through 10 states, includes a $60 million investment and requires more than 4,000 paid staff members. And the effort will need all of that — and perhaps more — to […] Read more »
Demographics and the GOP
At a recent lunch, several friends and I discussed the future of the Republican Party. I argued that the challenges facing the Republican Party, at least at the presidential level, are significant and fairly fundamental. After our conversation, I cobbled together some data that underscore my concern–data based on previously […] Read more »