Early national polling is supporting the prevailing view in Washington that Democrats are in trouble in the 2014 midterm elections. While Democrats are more popular than the GOP among the general public, the party faces a number of challenges in November. … Recent national surveys of registered voters by the […] Read more »
The Split of the Ages
Older voters and younger voters used to be largely on the same page when they went to the polls. No more. Gallup released two reports about the split this week. The first was called “U.S. Seniors Have Realigned With the Republican Party,” and the second was “Young Americans’ Affinity for […] Read more »
Young Americans’ Affinity for Democratic Party Has Grown
Young adults — those between the ages of 18 and 29 — have typically aligned themselves with the Democratic Party, but they have become substantially more likely to do so since 2006. … A major reason young adults are increasingly likely to prefer the Democratic Party is that today’s young […] Read more »
Putting Their Eggs in the Wrong Midterm Basket
Barring significant changes in group voting habits, many commentators have argued that “The Coalition of the Ascendant” is positioned to give Democrats a notable edge in elections in the near future. There may be some truth to that supposition: The country is clearly getting more diverse, and nonwhite voters tend […] Read more »
Seniors Have Realigned With the Republican Party
U.S seniors — those aged 65 and older — have moved from a reliably Democratic group to a reliably Republican one over the past two decades. From 1992 through 2006, seniors had been solidly Democratic and significantly more Democratic than younger Americans. Over the last seven years, seniors have become […] Read more »
How Strong Will the Anti-Democratic Backlash Be?
Why isn’t the Republican Party paying a heavy price for its dependence on a shrinking white electorate, its rejection of immigration reform and its “just say no” legislative strategy? … Going largely unmentioned in most analyses is the inability of the Obama administration to markedly improve the economy, which could […] Read more »