Polls show that the Republicans have an advantage in the fight for control of the Senate. They lead in enough states to win control, and they have additional opportunities in North Carolina and New Hampshire to make up for potential upsets. As Election Day nears, Democratic hopes increasingly hinge on […] Read more »
When Obama Lost White Millennials
In recent weeks, President Obama has taken to making direct appeals to young voters in an effort to raise the prospects of Democratic candidates around the country. It’s a strategy that would appear at the outset to hold some promise. … However, the generational affinity that millennials demonstrate towards the […] Read more »
Southern Evangelicals: Dwindling—and Taking the GOP Edge With Them
Midterm elections are all about turning out base constituencies. Over the last few decades, there have been few more reliable voters for Republicans than white evangelical Protestants. This year, however, GOP candidates may be getting less help from this group—not because white evangelical Protestants are becoming less supportive or less […] Read more »
Latino Voters and the 2014 Midterm Elections
A record 25.2 million Latinos are eligible to vote in the 2014 midterm elections, making up, for the first time, 11% of all eligible voters nationwide. But despite a growing national presence, in many states with close Senate and gubernatorial races this year, Latinos make up a smaller share of […] Read more »
Why data-driven campaigning matters in the 2014 US elections and beyond
… Profiling voters isn’t novel, nor is the use of demographic data. What’s new is the explosion of data collection around other activities that can inform those profiles and models of behaviors: what you buy, what you watch, what you “like,” what you share, or which people or brands you […] Read more »
The United States of Unease
… For the past month, CityLab has reported results from the Atlantic Media/Siemens State of the City poll, which explored how Americans living in urban, suburban, and rural areas rate their communities on all the key components of daily life, from education, transportation and safety to the environment and culture. […] Read more »