All election results aren’t equally important, as some places may matter more than others. Consider Arapahoe County, Colo. Sitting just east of Denver, Arapahoe is a crucial county in one of the most important swing states on the electoral map. It’s the kind of place both Democrats and Republicans see […] Read more »
The Demise of the White Democratic Voter
… There is an ongoing debate among politicians, political scientists and partisans of both parties over the dismal support of Democratic candidates among whites. Does it result from ideological differences, racial animosity or a perception among many whites that they are excluded from a coalition of minorities, the poor, single […] Read more »
Why the Voters of 2016 Are Likely to Be Younger and More Diverse
A midterm election has come and gone, and now begins a new round of speculation about whether the Democrats can remobilize young and nonwhite voters in 2016. The question hinges on how much of the growing nonwhite share of the electorate is the result of President Obama’s unique appeal. CONT. […] Read more »
Did Asian Americans switch parties overnight? No.
Buried in the blue and red bars of the exit poll results from Tuesday’s midterm elections is an astonishing figure. Asian Americans were nearly evenly split in their voting in congressional races: 50 percent to 49 percent, with a nod to Democrats by the faintest of recordable margins. … Is […] Read more »
Shellacking, the Sequel
… Tuesday’s resounding Republican sweep closely followed the script of the GOP’s landslide in 2010, and it exposed perhaps even more deeply the limits of the modern Democratic coalition—while underscoring the party’s persistent inability to convince enough whites that they will benefit from activist government. But just as President Obama […] Read more »
G.O.P. Is Making Progress Toward Presidency but Is Still Playing Catch-Up
After five of six presidential elections in which the Republicans have lost the popular vote, this year’s midterm elections point toward a plausible Republican path to winning the White House. .. But the Republican path is also narrow, one the Democrats could block if they reassemble their support among the […] Read more »