… The nation’s urban centers are changing rapidly. Blacks are moving out, into the suburbs or to other regions of the country. Poverty is spreading from the urban core to the inner suburbs. White flight has slowed and in some cases reversed. Nationally, Hispanics have displaced blacks as the dominant […] Read more »
10 Things the American Values Atlas Teaches Us About America’s Religious Landscape
Today we launch the American Values Atlas, a new, online tool that lets users see how Americans in each region, state, and major metro area feel about immigration, same-sex marriage, and abortion—in addition to seeing their religious, political, and demographic attributes. … [H]ere are the top ten things the AVA […] Read more »
The Most Valuable Voters of 2016
Where will demographic change most transform the landscape for the 2016 presidential race? … In the charts below, we summarize the two demographic trends that may most affect the political landscape in the 11 states that both parties now treat as decisive swing contests. As the charts show, all of […] Read more »
The Emerging Partisan Stalemate
The one-sentence explanation of contemporary American politics is that Republicans cannot win enough minority voters to consistently control the White House, and Democrats cannot win enough whites to consistently control the House of Representatives. … This complex landscape of fractured authority and offsetting strength has confounded political analysts who wish […] Read more »
Evolving strategy for progressives
The 2014 election was a disaster for the Democratic Party and the consequences of that November may be felt for many years to come in the congressional majority and in Republican governance at the state level. But that election did not realign the country politically or ideologically and it did […] Read more »
The States That Will Pick the President: The Rust Belt
With Democrats consistently strong along the East Coast and West Coast, Republicans dominant in the South and much of the Great Plains, the two parties now often fight most fiercely over a band of burly states that run west from Pennsylvania into Ohio, Wisconsin, and Michigan, and then Iowa. … […] Read more »