Democrats aim to balance multiple crises ahead of November’s midterm elections. Voters in Livingston County, Mich., share their concerns about inflation and their views of President Biden. Asma Khalid, NPR News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
NBC poll shows major shift in Congressional preference since 2018
Steve Kornacki breaks down education and gender differences in Congressional preference from our latest NBC News poll. MTP Daily, MSNBC The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
Treating Politics Like the NCAA Tournament
According to the PredictIt betting odds, there is an 84 percent chance that Republicans will capture the House in November, a 77 percent chance that the GOP wins a Senate majority, and a 72 percent chance that Republicans end up controlling both. Generally speaking, I am not a big fan […] Read more »
History Shows the Democrats’ Midterm Doom Isn’t Preordained
Among the most frequently cited observations about politics — along with “it all comes down to turnout” and “a week is a lifetime” — is this factoid about midterm elections: “Since World War II, the party holding the White House has suffered an average loss of 26 House seats and […] Read more »
Why aren’t Americans rallying around Biden during a war?
The Biden administration has earned broad praise for its response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine — at least before the president’s unscripted remark that Russian President Vladimir Putin should not remain in power. Conventional wisdom has long held that U.S. public opinion rallies around the flag and the president in […] Read more »
How Big Is The House Playing Field?
This week, Democratic and Republican campaign operations acknowledged that the House playing field is expanding. The NRCC added another 10 House districts to its already robust list of 72 Democratic-held targets. And on the Democratic side, the House Majority PAC announced it would be reserving nearly $102 million in advertising […] Read more »