Why young voters probably won’t cost Democrats in 2022

… Biden’s approval rating with Americans 18-29 years old is just 38% in aggregated Gallup data since September. From January 2021 to June 2021, it was 61% — about the same percentage of the vote he earned among voters under 30 in the 2020 election. Biden’s popularity among young Americans […] Read more »

(Why) Are Democrats Losing the Latino Vote?

Recorded on April 19, 2022, this panel discussion was presented by the University of California, Berkeley’s Citrin Center for Public Opinion Research. The panel featured Amanda Iovino, Vice President, Polling Director, WPA Intelligence, Youngkin for Governor; Anaís López, Senior Analyst, BSP Research; David Shor, Head of Data Science, Blue Rose […] Read more »

Bidenism is failing. The question is how badly.

… Biden has been explicit about taking a different approach to the presidency than Donald Trump did. But my impression is that Biden and his advisers also believed he would be more effective than Barack Obama was, because conservative White voters would feel less threatened by him and congressional Republicans […] Read more »

Why Nevada will tell the story of the 2022 election

… When people tick off the most competitive states on this year’s Senate map, their selections would probably include states like Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Most race rating experts will also list Nevada, even if it is not top of mind. Indeed, none of the Democrats holding federal office […] Read more »

Biden’s pollster on the recipe for how to ‘not get our a—- kicked’ in the midterms

In the coming weeks and months, the Playbook team will be out covering the key districts and states that will decide the outcome of the midterm elections. This week, co-author Ryan Lizza was in Las Vegas to interview John Anzalone, who is best known as President Joe Biden’s pollster, but […] Read more »