In the past few election cycles, color-coded result maps have developed a very familiar pattern at the county level. They mostly look like seas of Republican red punctuated by small islands of Democratic blue, even in races that end up being close. Those maps are a sign of a major […] Read more »
Biden ticks up, but GOP holds advantage on economy, Post-ABC poll finds
President Biden’s standing with Americans has improved slightly over the past two months, but he remains in negative territory in most assessments of his performance in office and Republicans hold substantial advantages over Democrats on key economic indicators that are shaping the midterm election year, according to a Washington Post-ABC […] Read more »
GOP strong on crime, boosted by trust in inflation
Broad Republican advantages in trust to tame inflation and handle crime are keeping the party in a strong position for the 2022 midterm elections in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, albeit off the historic peak in vote preference the GOP attained last fall. Americans trust the Republican Party over […] Read more »
Republicans have the advantage with voters in 2022 elections
All signs are pointing to a difficult midterm election for President Biden and Democrats, and a new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll has fresh evidence of that. Of the 1,162 registered voters surveyed, 47% said they are more likely to vote for the Republican in their district, as opposed to 44% who […] Read more »
Independents favor the GOP right now, poll finds
Six months out from the midterm election, Republicans running for Congress are enjoying the strongest public support they have seen in a decade, according to the latest PBS NewsHour/NPR/Marist poll. As President Joe Biden struggles to gain political momentum, the GOP is also getting more favorable marks on key issues […] Read more »
The 2024 Waiting Game
For months now, discussions about 2024 have mostly focused on whether Donald Trump will run for president. This framing works out well for both Trump and the political media: Trump gets the spotlight he craves, and the political media gets the clicks and eyeballs they need. But, the far more […] Read more »