Usual Midterm Indicators Very Unfavorable for Democrats

With less than five months to go before voters elect all members of the House of Representatives and one-third of the Senate, the current Democratic congressional majority is facing an extremely unfavorable election environment. The party of the president typically loses U.S. House seats in midterm elections — an average […] Read more »

Young Voters, Who Helped Biden to Victory, Are a Big Weak Spot in the Democratic Coalition

America’s youngest voters accounted for the biggest turnout increase of any age group between the past two presidential elections, helping deliver full control of Washington to President Joe Biden and congressional Democrats. But with just under five months until the midterm elections, it’s this group of voters who present a […] Read more »

Donald Trump has become more popular since the January 6 Capitol attack

… Analysts like me remarked over and over again during Trump’s time in office that he was one of, if not the most unpopular presidents. He left office with the lowest approval rating of any president at the end of his first term (39%) and the highest disapproval rating (58%) […] Read more »

Republicans Were Set to Self-destruct. Democrats Didn’t Let Them.

… Watching political ads of many Republican candidates, listening to their speeches, and reading their statements, one might easily conclude that we are all surrounded by existential threats to our country, ourselves, and our way of life. … In fact, our political debate is increasingly dominated by synthetic “issues,” carefully […] Read more »