If you are from New York, Nebraska, Oregon, Vermont or Mississippi, you have the same right to vote that everyone else in the country does. But that doesn’t mean that you will have the same political clout. In fact, you are likely to be irrelevant in this fall’s elections. … […] Read more »
An Early Look at (Too) Early Data on SCOTUS Abortion Ruling
The Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision overturning Roe v. Wade is a historic event, but it will take at least a few weeks, if not longer, to know whether it is an election-changing event. Arguably the worst time to measure the political impact of an event is while it is still […] Read more »
Politics in the Post-Roe World
Key Points• The president’s party often struggles in midterms, although extraordinary circumstances can save them from losses. The Supreme Court’s overturning of Roe vs. Wade could be 2022’s extraordinary circumstance.• Beyond abortion, Republicans still retain powerful political advantages.• Democrats could get their version of 2018’s “Kavanaugh Effect.”• 2022 won’t definitively […] Read more »
Majorities oppose Supreme Court’s abortion ruling and worry about other rights
Majorities of Americans say they disagree with the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade, think it was politically motivated, are concerned the court will now reconsider rulings that protect other rights, and are more likely to vote for a candidate this fall who would restore the right to […] Read more »
More than 1 million voters switch to GOP in warning for Dems
See AP’s July 7, 2022, update to this article. A political shift is beginning to take hold across the U.S. as tens of thousands of suburban swing voters who helped fuel the Democratic Party’s gains in recent years are becoming Republicans. More than 1 million voters across 43 states have […] Read more »
Democrats still have this glimmer of hope for the midterm elections
President Joe Biden can’t avoid a bad midterm election. But with a boost last week from the US Supreme Court, he still might avoid the worst. A bad election means losing the Democratic majority in the US House of Representatives, which his own party’s strategists now consider virtually certain. A […] Read more »