On Tuesday, we got our first test of how potent an issue abortion might be for Democrats this fall. In a state that overwhelmingly voted for then-President Donald Trump in 2020, a ballot initiative clarifying that Kansas’s state constitution does in fact protect abortion won by double digits. What’s going […] Read more »
Democrats Might Avoid a Midterm Wipeout
If Democrats avoid the worst outcome in November’s midterm elections, the principal reason will likely be the GOP’s failure to reverse its decline in white-collar suburbs during the Donald Trump era. That’s a clear message from yesterday’s crowded primary calendar, which showed the GOP mostly continuing to nominate Trump-style culture-war […] Read more »
Dems Gain Slightly in Congress Support
The latest Monmouth University Poll finds the Democrats making small gains in preference for Congressional control and the year-long slide in President Joe Biden’s job rating appears to have stabilized. The economy remains a driving force in the midterm elections, but it is not the only issue of importance. Democrats […] Read more »
Some Lessons and Questions After the Kansas Abortion Referendum
Since the Roe v. Wade decision, the typical American’s position has been “abortion should be legally permitted for some reasons but not others.” This remains true even in many conservative-leaning states, like Kansas, where a majority of elected representatives are pro-life. … By increasing the electoral salience of abortion, an […] Read more »
CBS News Battleground Tracker: What do voters in each party want in a candidate?
The latest CBS News Battleground Tracker takes a look at what — and who — would motivate voters to back a candidate. For most Republicans, an endorsement by the former president is a plus for that candidate, and even more so among Republicans who say they “always” vote in Republican […] Read more »
A third major party? Don’t hold your breath
Three groups — the Serve America Movement, the Renew America Movement and the Forward Party — have announced they are merging and plan to become a third party that will “soon seek state-by-state ballot access to run candidates in 2024 and beyond.” … Tim Reid of Reuters, who first broke […] Read more »