The biggest political story this week emerged from Kansas, where citizens voted down a proposal that would have removed abortion rights protections from their state constitution. But the biggest political story going forward may be the meaning that Kansas vote has in other states in the coming months and years. […] Read more »
Latinos lean Democratic on climate change, safety as midterms draw closer
A new Axios/Ipsos poll of Latino American adults explores their position on three key policy items ahead of the 2022 midterm elections: climate change, police reform, and immigration. The poll finds that while a majority of Latino Americans’ preferences generally align with Democratic-leaning positions on issues around climate change and […] Read more »
Culture wars could be a winning issue — for Democrats
The top lines for Democrats continue to be brutal heading into the November midterm elections: Voters are furious about inflation, they overwhelmingly believe the country is heading in the wrong direction, and President Biden is not at all a popular figure. But based on recent polling, the issue matrix has […] Read more »
Kansas Result Suggests 4 Out of 5 States Would Back Abortion Rights in Similar Vote
There was every reason to expect a close election. Instead, Tuesday’s resounding victory for abortion rights supporters in Kansas offered some of the most concrete evidence yet that the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade has shifted the political landscape. The victory, by a 59-41 margin in a […] Read more »
Reassessing the Race for the Senate
Key Points• In an election where Republicans are banking on the environment while Democrats are banking on differences in candidate quality, Republicans are relying on a very inexperienced group of candidates.• Compared to 2014, the last time Republicans flipped the Senate, the party’s non-incumbent candidates are incredibly green.• Democrats, meanwhile, […] Read more »
Who gave Democrats the edge on the generic ballot?
Since May 2022, Republicans have lost a slight edge on the generic ballot. Analysis of the FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos tracking poll suggests that following the Dobbs decision, a segment of Biden’s 2020 base who were previously uninvested in the midterms now say they are likely to vote for a Democratic candidate. … […] Read more »