From a Republican ‘tsunami’ to a ‘puddle’: Why the forecast for November is changing

It was a referendum. Now it’s a choice. For political professionals in both parties, that’s the capsule explanation for why the Democratic position in the midterm elections appears to have improved so much since summer began. When the election looked to be primarily a referendum on the performance of the […] Read more »

Democratic enthusiasm surges at polls after SCOTUS abortion ruling

Abortion bans in GOP-controlled states have sparked a surge of Democratic enthusiasm at the polls, says Chuck Todd. Since the Dobbs decision, Democrats have topped President Joe Biden’s 2020 performance in four special elections. Meet the Press, NBC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll […] Read more »

Republican voters continue to view Trump as the party’s leader

Less than three months from the midterm elections, a new USA Today/Ipsos poll finds that former President Trump continues to be seen as the head of the Republican party, as a majority of Republican voters believe that he can win the next presidential election and should be the party’s nominee […] Read more »

What do voters want in 2024? Democrats want a unifier, Republicans want a fighter

It’s not just that Democratic and Republican voters disagree about who should be the next president. A new USA TODAY/Ipsos Poll finds they also have different visions of the crucial characteristics to do the job. Democratic voters say they want most of all a unifier who will focus on bringing […] Read more »

GOP seat lead shrinks as Biden approval ticks up — CBS News Battleground Tracker poll

Republicans head into the fall still in position to gain enough House seats for a majority, but a tumultuous summer has made their advantage appear a little smaller today — with a trend so far pointing toward narrow gains instead of a wave. Our CBS News Battleground Tracker estimates Republicans […] Read more »

Once unthinkable, Democrats now see narrow path to keeping the House

Democrats are voicing growing confidence about limiting losses in the House and potentially even salvaging their majority in the midterm elections, with candidates and allied groups making moves to capitalize on a backlash to abortion restrictions, signs of improvements in the economy and opposition to Donald Trump. After months of […] Read more »