President Joe Biden’s bid for a second term begins with a wide advantage over his declared opponents for the Democratic nomination, but he faces headwinds among the overall public from declining favorability and a widespread view that his reelection would be more negative than positive for the country, according to […] Read more »
Marquette Law School Poll finds Trump and DeSantis leading Biden in head-to-head matches, DeSantis losing ground to Trump in primary
A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds that, as the race for president in 2024 now stands, Democratic President Joe Biden trails Republican former President Donald Trump by 5 percentage points among registered voters, with 52% for Trump and 47% for Biden. Biden also trails Republican Florida Gov. […] Read more »
Fox News Poll: More than half of voters think Trump is a strong leader, Biden isn’t
Big announcements in the Republican presidential primary race produce little movement in the latest Fox News survey. Former president Donald Trump maintains his lead with 53% support among GOP primary voters nationally, and Ron DeSantis once again comes in second at 20%. Last month, it was 53-21%. Since February, Trump […] Read more »
What Happened in 2022
The 2022 election defied conventional wisdom and historical trends. In a typical midterm election year with one-party control of the presidency, House and Senate, the incumbent party would expect major losses. Instead, Democrats re-elected every incumbent senator and expanded their Senate majority by a seat, won the overwhelming majority of […] Read more »
Will 2024 be a personality contest or a policy debate?
Here are a few thoughts this week as we await the outcome of the debt ceiling battle. What will the 2024 election be about? It may seem obvious to ask this most basic of questions about the next election, but the answer will likely decide its outcome. So, perhaps, a […] Read more »
The demographic makeup of the country’s voters continues to shift. That creates headwinds for Republicans
Demographic change continued to chip away at the cornerstone of the Republican electoral coalition in 2022, a new analysis of Census data has found. White voters without a four-year college degree, the indispensable core of the modern GOP coalition, declined in 2022 as a share of both actual and eligible […] Read more »