The U.S. midterm election campaign has been going on for months, with upwards of $5 billion having been spent to sway the vote. All that spending has not been wasted, but it will account for far less than more persistent factors in determining the outcome of the midterms. One factor […] Read more »
Why it matters if the polls miss again
I’m cutting to the chase: We have no idea if polls are overestimating Democrats this year. I could spend this column trying to read a crystal ball, pretending I have some sort of special insight, but I don’t, and there are plenty of others doing that. We’ve gotten better this […] Read more »
Democrats Must Still Close On The Cost-Of-Living
The Democrats have lost ground in this survey from +3 overall margin to even in this survey — and to -2 in the likely electorate. That is driven by Democrats not addressing the top issue, cost of living, where they lost 3 points to be 3 points down and Republicans […] Read more »
Republicans retain advantage over Democrats on key issues of the economy, crime
More Americans, as well as registered voters, trust the Republican Party over the Democratic Party when it comes to handling the economy, crime, inflation, and gas prices, according to a new ABC News/Ipsos poll. Republicans’ advantages on these issues have not changed from ABC News/Ipsos polling two months ago. On […] Read more »
GOP opens edge on economy, crime ahead of midterms
Americans trust that Republicans would do a better job on a key set of issues, with across-the-board, double-digit edges on inflation, the economy, gas prices and crime, according to a new ABC News/Ipsos poll. Inflation sees one of the larger gulfs – with 36% of Americans trusting the GOP and […] Read more »
‘Anger on their minds’: NBC News poll finds sky-high interest and polarization ahead of midterms
Less than three weeks before Election Day, voter interest has now reached an all-time high for a midterm election, with a majority of registered voters saying that this election is “more important” to them than past midterms. What’s more, some 80% of Democrats and Republicans believe the political opposition poses […] Read more »