In the post-debate poll in Iowa, Focus on Rural America found some shakeups among the Democratic presidential contenders and some key takeaways for the field. Iowa Democrats are focused on electability and they see rural issues and a rural strategy as key to that end. CONT. Focus on Rural America Read more »
The re-emergence of Kavanaugh controversy could hurt Democrats’ Senate chances in 2020
The re-emergence of the controversy surrounding Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation to the Supreme Court has put Democrats in a challenging political position. Last year, amid allegations of sexual misconduct that Kavanaugh denied, the vast majority of Senate Democrats voted against his confirmation.The Senate elections that followed suggest a cautionary tale for […] Read more »
The most important moment in history?
We’re practically raised to believe that debates impact election results in big ways. Millions watch, candidates spend countless hours preparing, media can’t stop talking, and writing, about them. And, after all, we’re taught debates are the way we should be making voting decisions. They’ve just got to be game changers. […] Read more »
All Eyes Are Shifting to the Senate
This column argued six months ago that to the extent the focus of the political world wasn’t trained on the presidential election, it was on whether Democrats would retain their newly won House majority. It then argued that the Senate would eventually become the biggest non-presidential story—and that appears to […] Read more »
NBC/WSJ poll: Biden leads Dem 2020 field, Warren’s support grows
Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., continue to top the Democratic 2020 presidential field after last week’s debate — in a race for the nomination that breaks along ideological and racial lines, according to a national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll released Tuesday. The survey also […] Read more »
Why CBS Battleground Tracker of 2020 Convention Delegates Misleads
CBS’s coverage of the Democratic primary is highly misleading in its estimates of the number of convention delegates that each candidate might win “through Super Tuesday.” Why? CBS’s Battleground Tracker implicitly assumes all voters will cast their ballots at roughly the same time. That is not the case, and it […] Read more »