Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren has moved to the top tier of 2020 Democratic presidential candidates, based in part on her detailed and highly specific plans for addressing the nation’s pressing policy issues. … In addition to her plans for a much-elevated use of government as the means for addressing social […] Read more »
Impeachment in the Global Context
The last ten days have been mind-boggling, with the emergence of new political facts at light speed. Consider that we went from vague references, to a whistleblower complaint, to the launch of an impeachment inquiry, to the release of a “transcript” of the President’s conversation with the Ukrainian president, to […] Read more »
Why Trump’s impeachment inquiry will be more divisive than Nixon/Clinton
If impeachment of the president is always a match, today it is dropping into a much larger pool of gasoline than it did under President Richard Nixon or even President Bill Clinton. After years of steadily rising partisan conflict, the inquiry that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced last week may […] Read more »
Big Structural Change
Increasingly, the Democratic presidential nomination seems a battle between former Vice President Joe Biden and Senator Elizabeth Warren. … The two leaders – Biden and Warren – are the two candidates who have presented the clearest rationales for their candidacy. Biden fundamentally promises a return to the Obama years and […] Read more »
Impeachment Is Becoming More Popular
It’s now been almost a week since House Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced an official impeachment inquiry of President Trump. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew takes stock of how much public opinion has changed since Pelosi spoke and what polls tell us about the road ahead. […] Read more »
How House elections will expand the 2020 Electoral College map
The results of the 2020 House and Senate races will largely determine the efficacy of the next president. Losing either chamber to the other party would hamstring a president’s agenda — allowing the opposition to obstruct legislation, effectively negotiate the budget, and in the case of the Senate, stall executive […] Read more »