This week, as President Donald Trump went on the offensive to bolster his case against impeachment, he tweeted a county-by-county map of the 2016 presidential race that showed a vast sea of red interrupted only by a few blue inlets, mostly along the coasts. The map, captioned with the headline […] Read more »
The Senate: Ratings Changes and the Shadow of Impeachment
A major overall theme in American political life is the nationalization of politics. How people feel about the president is bleeding down the ballot to an extreme degree, to the point where congressional expert Gary Jacobson observed that the 2018 midterm was “the most sweeping national referendum on any administration […] Read more »
Why Black Voters Prefer Establishment Candidates Over Liberal Alternatives
Black voters effectively delivered Hillary Clinton the Democratic presidential nomination in 2016. She and Sen. Bernie Sanders ran about evenly among white voters, but black voters overwhelmingly backed Clinton. So did the Democratic establishment. That team-up — black voters and the more establishment candidate — is not unusual. We don’t […] Read more »
Democrats Risk a Referendum on Impeachment, Rather Than on Trump
Democrats now seem to be hurtling toward something that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and many other party leaders had desperately tried to avoid: impeaching President Trump. Pelosi has probably spent more time with Trump than any House Democrat. It’s safe to say she can’t stand the man. She just thought […] Read more »
How the Average Joe (and Jane) Could Wind Up Stopping Warren
Elizabeth Warren is gaining. She has breached 20 percent of the vote in recent national surveys and might hold a narrow lead in Iowa and New Hampshire. The prediction markets now consider her a clear favorite to win the nomination. It can be hard to see how her Democratic rivals […] Read more »
Impeachment Polls Show a Steady Rise in Support
Support for removing President Trump from office has leapt since Speaker Nancy Pelosi opened an impeachment inquiry against him, but his Republican backers appear to represent an increasingly loyal minority, according to polls released this week. As support for impeachment grows, the president’s base is digging in its heels. But […] Read more »