Control of the Senate is coming down to this hidden dynamic

Control of the US Senate will be decided next week in cross-pressured states where most voters disapprove of President Joe Biden’s performance but also express unfavorable views about their state’s Republican Senate nominee. Public polls show Biden’s job approval rating is consistently below 50%, and often well below that, in […] Read more »

Senate control is likely to come down to these four states

You know Election Day is closing in when the kids are trick-or-treating. And with the costumes out, the picture for the Senate is clearer than ever. It is pretty clear from the polling that control of the Senate will likely come down to four races: Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania. […] Read more »

Elections aren’t only about ‘the economy, stupid’ — and never were

The economy is not the singular, overriding factor that decides American elections — and it really never was. It’s not just “the economy, stupid.” … Even before most Americans have voted, there is already commentary that Democrats have lost this year’s elections because the party has focused too much on […] Read more »

Senate Control Hinges on Neck-and-Neck Races, Times/Siena Poll Finds

Control of the Senate rests on a knife’s edge, according to new polls by The New York Times and Siena College, with Republican challengers in Nevada and Georgia neck-and-neck with Democratic incumbents, and the Democratic candidate in Pennsylvania clinging to what appears to be a tenuous advantage. The bright spot […] Read more »

Republicans head into final week with lead in seats, voters feel things are “out of control”

The election is already underway; millions have voted, and tens of millions more will before Nov. 8. Amid that, eight in 10 likely voters describe things in the country today as “out of control,” as opposed to “under control.” That doesn’t bode well for the party in power: Republicans are […] Read more »