Chat with almost any political professional in and around Washington, and you find something of a consensus building on the following: 1. Elizabeth Warren is going to be the nominee.2. She’s going to have a hard time beating Trump. Last week, I spent time looking at the first point. Today, […] Read more »
Poll: Biden has a big lead. Another poll: Warren does. What’s going on?
On Wednesday morning, CNN published a new poll evaluating the state of the Democratic presidential primary fight. Former vice president Joe Biden had surged back into a healthy lead, enjoying a double-digit margin over Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who are jockeying for second. That was important […] Read more »
Joe Biden or Elizabeth Warren? New Polls Differ on Who’s Leading 2020 Race
Just over three months before Iowans caucus for Democratic presidential candidates, four polls out this week present a muddled picture of a primary race that is unfolding in varying, and sometimes conflicting, ways nationally and in early-voting states. A pair of new national polls present starkly different results. A CNN […] Read more »
Trump Has No Room for Error in 2020
The risk in Donald Trump’s base-first electoral strategy is only rising—because the size of his base is shrinking. Working-class whites are on track to continue declining as a share of eligible voters in 2020, according to a study released today by the liberal think tank Center for American Progress. In […] Read more »
Democrats may come to regret choosing impeachment over independents
Put yourself, for a moment, in the shoes of average independent American voters in fly-over country where next year’s election is likely to be decided. Many, if not most, are probably feeling trapped by what amounts to a constant barrage of white noise coming out of Washington these days. Ukraine. […] Read more »
Who’s the most electable Democrat? It might be Warren or Buttigieg, not Biden.
The biggest issue in the Democratic presidential primary isn’t health care or immigration or gun control. It’s electability. A strong majority of Democratic voters report that it’s more important that the party nominate a candidate who can beat President Trump than someone they agree with on the issues. … So […] Read more »