Nearly all of the candidates seeking the Democratic Party’s presidential nomination next year have one very specific thing in common: They are not going to win. That means that some large percentage of Democratic voters will, at some point, see their preferred candidates drop out and then have to decide […] Read more »
Message Morphs and the Fifth Debate
The Iowa Democratic Party Liberty and Justice (LJ) dinner is a marker in the nomination process as candidates have the opportunity to show off their organizations and message positioning. New polling suggests shifting allegiances. With just 90 days before the caucuses, the shape of the race matters more now than […] Read more »
Impeachment won’t answer the questions we need to ask
… In many ways, we don’t know a lot about what happens now. We’ve seen only a few presidential impeachments in this country, and each one had its own quirks. I said to a group of colleagues the other day that we probably do have a fair amount of relevant […] Read more »
A year out, here’s four scenarios for 2020 elections
After Donald Trump’s surprise victory in 2016, there’s a saturating fear of projecting elections. Nearly three years into his presidency, and with one year left in his first term, there are multiple potential outcomes for the 2020 elections. But the scenarios aren’t created equal and don’t have the same chance […] Read more »
Biden Retakes Lead From Warren; Both Beat Trump: IBD/TIPP
Former Vice President Joe Biden is back in front of Elizabeth Warren, the November IBD/TIPP Poll of the Democratic nomination contest finds. Biden had narrowly slipped from the top spot in October. Both candidates have solid leads over President Donald Trump in head-to-head polling, though Biden remains the Democrat best […] Read more »
U.S. Sen. John Cornyn’s rivals are unknown even to most Democratic voters
One part of U.S. Sen. John Cornyn’s 2020 reelection campaign is going his way right now: According to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll, his potential challengers are unknown, even to their own Democratic primary voters. CONT. Ross Ramsey, Texas Tribune Read more »