Biden top pick for Latino voters eager to oust Trump

Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders are the top picks for Latino voters as the Democratic candidate to combat President Donald Trump in next year’s presidential elections, according to a new Telemundo poll. … The survey — Noticias Telemundo’s “State of the Latino Vote Poll – One […] Read more »

A Sliver of the Electorate Could Decide 2020. Here’s What These Voters Want.

Today’s America is so deeply polarized that it can be hard to imagine there are people who are really not sure whether they want to vote for President Trump or his Democratic rival. But these “mythic,” “quasi-talismanic,” “unicorn” swing voters are very real, and there are enough of them to […] Read more »

This group of voters could swing the 2020 election

Few questions may shape the result of the 2020 election more than whether Democrats can exploit the religious gap in attitudes toward President Donald Trump that has emerged among his core constituency of working-class white voters. While polls generally show Trump retaining strong support overall among blue-collar whites, more detailed […] Read more »

It’s A Free-For-All In Iowa

Tomorrow is Election Day, and FiveThirtyEight will be watching competitive races in a number of states. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the governors races in Kentucky and Mississippi and state legislative elections in Virginia. Next, the team takes a look at the latest in […] Read more »

Biden holds significant lead over Warren, Sanders in Nevada; top issue is electing someone who can beat Trump

Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a 10 point lead over Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders among likely Democratic presidential caucusgoers in Nevada, buoyed by an intense focus on electing a candidate who can beat President Donald Trump, according to a new poll by The Nevada […] Read more »

New Poll Shows Democratic Candidates Have Been Living in a Fantasy World

In 2018, Democratic candidates waded into hostile territory and flipped 40 House districts, many of them moderate or conservative in their makeup. In almost every instance, their formula centered on narrowing their target profile by avoiding controversial positions, and focusing obsessively on Republican weaknesses, primarily Donald Trump’s abuses of power […] Read more »