The immediate post-election story has focused on the continued Republican problems in the suburbs. But there’s another part of the story that is good news for the GOP, a part that shows our continuing realignment moves in two directions. That story is the ongoing movement of formerly Democratic regions and […] Read more »
The 7 Ways Impeachment Could Shape The 2020 Election
It’s November. That means your seasonal depression is settling in for the long haul, the 2020 election is a year away, and the Congressional Democrats are taking the impeachment inquiry into its next, very public phase. This week, some transcripts of formerly closed-door testimony were made public, and televised hearings […] Read more »
It’s 2016 All Over Again
If you feel whipsawed from the last round of polling and election results, well, you are not alone. The week started with the release of an NBC/Wall Street Journal poll that showed President Donald Trump losing to both former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren by 8-9 points. […] Read more »
Trump vs. ?? — Swing State Edition
This week, we discuss head-to-head match-ups between President Trump and top Democratic candidates in key swing states. Then we dissect Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s Medicare-for-all plan, and the polling around Medicare-for-all. Finally, we look at new caucus polling out of Iowa and Nevada, and examine a few results from Election Day […] Read more »
A Poll Symphony or Cacophony?
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, our crackerjack team of experts assesses the latest national and state Democratic primary polls. What do they mean in this stage of the race? And, the proportions may have changed, but the Democratic National Committee continues to use public opinion polls as a […] Read more »
Nonvoters Are a Source of Hope for Democrats. But Maybe a False Hope.
… For Democrats, nonvoters have long been a source of hope. They are disproportionately young, nonwhite and low-income, demographics that favor the party. In this year’s Democratic primary, turning nonvoters into voters would seem to offer a path to victory for candidates who might seek to win the general election […] Read more »