A group of political scientists and researchers, including Benjamin Knoll at Centre College, conducted an exit poll of the Kentucky governor’s race. They interviewed nearly 4,000 residents in the state. What they found was that Matt Bevin won overwhelmingly among evangelical and born-again Christians (62-36). He also won male voters […] Read more »
What the latest election results signify for both parties in 2020
In many ways, the election results last week, specifically the races in Virginia, Kentucky, and Pennsylvania, have noteworthy implications for Republicans and Democrats going into 2020. However, both parties must be wary before drawing absolute conclusions from these results. CONT. Douglas E. Schoen, The Hill Read more »
In Virginia, Republicans confront a fearful electoral future
… A GOP candidate hasn’t won statewide office in Virginia since 2009. On Tuesday, Democrats gained majorities in both houses of the General Assembly for the first time in a generation; the House of Delegates swung from a 66-34 Republican edge in 2017 to a 55-45 Democratic advantage for next […] Read more »
How Voters Turned Virginia From Deep Red to Solid Blue
… Once the heart of the confederacy, Virginia is now the land of Indian grocery stores, Korean churches and Diwali festivals. The state population has boomed — up by 38 percent since 1990, with the biggest growth in densely settled suburban areas like South Riding. One in 10 people eligible […] Read more »
Can Bloomberg’s unconventional strategy win a Democratic nomination?
… A Bloomberg entry is seen both as a vote of no confidence in Biden and as evidence that the donor wing of the party, or the moderate wing of the party, or the establishment wing of the party is truly terrified that Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) has gained the […] Read more »
The electability difference between Elizabeth Warren and Joe Biden
… As I pointed out in July, there is a slew of evidence that more moderate candidates have done better than those closer to ideological poles in House elections over the last decade. Now, the difference isn’t so great as to make Warren unelectable, and there are other factors at […] Read more »