The Democratic Party has moved left in recent years. Evidence from 2000, 2004 and 2008 suggests that until then, the party’s positions on a wide range of issues were like those of many center-right parties in other rich democracies. But starting in 2012, the Democrats began shifting left — and […] Read more »
Democrats are making big gains in the suburbs. Here’s why that may not be enough to beat Trump.
Democrats are rightfully ecstatic that they won two of the three 2019 elections for governor in deep red Southern states, overcoming relentless campaign visits by President Donald Trump. … The continued migration of highly college-educated suburbs away from Republicans in the Trump era is welcome news for Democrats. The Kentucky […] Read more »
Why Biden’s and Sanders’ support is steady as a rock
No one knows with any real certainty who will win the 2020 Democratic presidential primary. One decent bet to make is that former Vice President Joe Biden and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders are the most likely candidates to hold onto to a firm base of support as we head into […] Read more »
Four Scenarios: Republicans’ Best Endgame and Democrats’ Possible Sweep
As of Thanksgiving, there is no projection that is credibly predicting Republicans will win back the House by gaining a net of 17 seats to deny Nancy Pelosi and the Democrats a majority. But, there are a host of analysts suggesting that Trump could win re-election with less than six […] Read more »
CNN Poll: Biden leads nationally as Buttigieg rises
Former Vice President Joe Biden continues to lead the newly expanded field of contenders for the Democratic nomination for president, with Sens. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts and Bernie Sanders of Vermont behind him in a close battle for second, according to a new CNN Poll conducted by SSRS. South Bend, […] Read more »
What past impeachments tell us about Trump’s 2020 prospects
History signals that the public’s final verdict on President Donald Trump’s possible impeachment won’t be delivered until the 2020 election — whatever happens next in the House and Senate, and however Americans react to it. … “The whole impeachment debate has intensified preexisting feelings about the President,” says Republican pollster […] Read more »