16 slides that show why tomorrow is very likely to be a great night for Republicans up and down the ballot. CONTINUED Public Opinion Strategies The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
Final Ratings for the 2022 Election
Key Points• Our final Senate pick is 51-49 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 seat.• Our final House pick is 237-198 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 24 seats.• Our projected gubernatorial picture is 29-21 Republican, or a net Republican gain of 1 governorship. CONTINUED Larry J. […] Read more »
My predictions for the 2022 midterm elections
American politics has been a stalemate between the two parties for nearly 30 years. Every time it looks as though one party gains a lasting upper hand — Democrats after 2008 and 2020, Republicans after 1994 and 2010 — its legislative overreach sends it back to parity. Tuesday’s midterm elections […] Read more »
A spiral of violence and fear is creating angst for many voters ahead of the midterm elections
Armed men in masks and tactical gear have shown up at secure ballot drop boxes. Candidates of both parties have been physically attacked, election workers intimidated. And threats against members of Congress are up tenfold. For many voters, a vicious spiral of violence and fear is creating angst, paranoia and […] Read more »
Democrats catch up to GOP on enthusiasm in final NBC News poll before midterms
The final national NBC News poll of the 2022 midterms finds a highly competitive campaign landscape ahead of Election Day. While Democrats have pulled even with Republicans in enthusiasm, President Joe Biden remains unpopular, and voters express deep dissatisfaction about the state of the country. Forty-eight percent of likely voters […] Read more »
Why 2022 may bring a new peak of political instability
All year, the principal question looming over the 2022 campaign has been whether Democrats could defy political gravity. As we’re nearing the end, the answer appears to be: no, or at least not entirely. Midterm elections have almost always been bad for the party holding the White House, and they […] Read more »