The morning after the Democrats’ last debate in December, the Democratic National Committee announced the thresholds to qualify for the next one, scheduled for Jan. 14 in Des Moines: 5 percent support in four qualifying polls, or 7 percent in two early-state polls. … Those who haven’t made the cut […] Read more »
Poll Hub: The Field
On this week’s episode of our podcast, Poll Hub, the incomparable Charlie Cook, Editor and Publisher of The Cook Political Report and Political Analyst for the National Journal Group, joins the team. From the Democrats’ strategy of electability to the states critical to the general election contest, Cook offers his […] Read more »
Biden appeals both to black voters — and to white voters suspicious of Black Lives Matter
Since entering the 2020 Democratic presidential contest in April, Joe Biden has remained the front-runner — despite gaffes, attacks from the president and fellow Democrats, Republicans’ charges of unethical behavior and questions about his health. While other candidates’ poll ratings wax and wane, Biden’s have been remarkably stable. Many observers […] Read more »
Markey vs. Kennedy: Welcome to the most unusual Senate primary in decades
Sen. Ed Markey (D-MA) will be facing the fight of his political life this year. He’s being challenged in the Democratic primary by Rep. Joe Kennedy III (D, MA-4), scion of the legendary political family. The clash of Massachusetts political titans was sure to generate public and media interest regardless. […] Read more »
New Year’s Irresolutions and the Democratic Field
This post gives my end of the year thoughts on the Democratic field. I am writing it so we can all look back in a few months and see how wrong it was, and, indeed, many factors provide uncertainty about what the next few months will bring. Certainly many of […] Read more »
Gallup Decade in Review: 2010-2019
A review of Gallup analyses over the past decade reveals that the years from 2010 to 2019 bore witness to key revolutionary changes in public opinion, along with some persistent trends and concerns, as well as striking moments and lasting effects. Here are the changes, issues and moments in public […] Read more »