The House officially delivered to the Senate two articles of impeachment against President Donald Trump last week on the same day that the Dow Jones Industrial Average finished above 29,000 points for the first time. That striking juxtaposition encapsulates the contending forces shaping the presidential race: pervasive doubts about Trump’s […] Read more »
The Electoral Cases For — And Against — The Four Leading Democrats
In a live recording, the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast crew debates the electoral cases of the four leading candidates in the Democratic primary. They also discuss the concept of electability and whether voters are biased against voting for a woman for president. Plus, they play a round of “Guess What Americans […] Read more »
CNN poll: 51% say Senate should remove Trump from office
About half of Americans say the Senate should vote to convict President Donald Trump and remove him from office in the upcoming impeachment trial (51%), according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS, while 45% say the Senate should vote against conviction and removal. CONT. Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Read more »
Iowa: Biden Leads and Rural Issues Fuel Klobuchar Movement
Focus on Rural America Co-Founders former Iowa Lt. Gov Patty Judge and Jeff Link released the results of their latest poll on a conference call with reporters Monday morning. This is the 6th quarterly poll from Focus on Rural America which began tracking presidential preferences and issues in September of […] Read more »
Are the Sunbelt’s suburbs key to victory in November?
Jon Favreau conducts a focus group in Phoenix with Romney-Clinton voters. The Wilderness, Crooked Media Read more »
Election 2020: The unexpected durability of Biden, Sanders
When Sen. Kamala Harris’ advisers assessed the Democratic primary field early in her campaign, they viewed Joe Biden as headed for an inevitable collapse and Bernie Sanders as unlikely to recapture the magic of his 2016 campaign. A year later, Harris is out of the race, and Biden and Sanders […] Read more »