Iowa Democrats are fiercely united by the goal of unseating President Donald Trump, but they were sharply divided Monday over which candidate was best equipped to do so, according to the AP VoteCast survey. CONT. Josh Boak & Hannah Fingerhut, Associated Press Read more »
It’s Time to De-Hype the Iowa Caucuses
The Iowa Democratic Party certainly deserves plenty of blame for the disastrous problems with the delayed tabulation of the results from Monday night’s caucus. … Still, there was something a bit unseemly about major media figures taking to cable news and social media to blast the state party for failing […] Read more »
The winner in Iowa may not get the most votes initially
The Iowa caucuses are weird, in case you haven’t noticed. With the polls so close, the person who wins the most statewide delegates may not be the person who a plurality of caucusgoers support going into the caucuses. That’s important because the candidate with the most statewide delegate equivalents at […] Read more »
Supporting a non-preferred candidate
Much has been written about candidates’ “electability,” and pundits often wonder how these concerns affect the Democratic presidential primary this year. Are primary voters planning on voting for the person they want to be president, the person they think is most likely to beat Donald Trump, or are these things […] Read more »
UMass Lowell/YouGov Poll: N.H. Democratic Primary Is Too Close to Call
With only eight days to go, the New Hampshire Democratic primary is wide open, with a close race for the lead and a large share of likely voters who say they could still change their mind, according to a new poll released today. U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders is at the […] Read more »
This Iowa Poll Was Never Published. It’s Still Influencing What You Read.
The Des Moines Register spiked its poll Saturday night, but by the next day it seemed most reporters here had seen the numbers — or something purporting to be the numbers. … Here are what some reporters told me about how the poll affected their work: CONT. Ben Smith, BuzzFeed […] Read more »