“Voters Are Smarter Than the Media”: The Pundit Class Misjudged the American People

For weeks, the political-industrial complex was sure that these 2022 midterm elections would be a bloodbath for democracy, a “red wave”—or better yet, a “red tsunami”—crashing over America. … But that’s not what happened. Voters rejected antidemocratic secretary of state candidates, as well as the prognostications about what they cared […] Read more »

While Democrats may have bucked the national trend, Republicans still hold a large sway in GOP-led states

In Democratic-leaning and swing states, voters last week delivered an unmistakable cry of resistance to the restrictive Republican social agenda symbolized by the drive to ban abortion. But in red states where Republicans have actually imposed that agenda over the past two years, GOP governors cruised to reelection without any […] Read more »

Bad Vibes v. Good Results. Lynn Vavreck on the ’22 Midterms.

Dr. Lynn Vavreck, professor of political scientist at UCLA and contributing columnist to The Upshot at The New York Times, sits down with Jon to talk about 2022 midterms. After 2020, Lynn and her colleagues interviewed over 500,000 voters, leading them to conclude that our politics aren’t just polarized, but […] Read more »

Breaking down the impact of “election influencers” in the midterms

CBS News elections and surveys director Anthony Salvanto breaks down the trends that influenced the midterm election results. CBS News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »

2022 midterms were a ‘rollercoaster of a cycle’

Democrats have done what seemed improbable months ago: Defy historical midterm patterns and maintain control of the Senate in an economy still recovering from Covid. Chuck Todd, NBC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »

For 2024 answers, look to voters who “somewhat disapprove” of Biden

A lot of elements went into Tuesday’s unexpectedly good night for Democrats, but one of the biggest factors was a set of voters who surprisingly came through for the party: Voters who “somewhat disapprove” of President Joe Biden’s job performance. There aren’t a lot of those voters, but in the […] Read more »