The CEO of the tech startup at the center of the Iowa caucus debacle complained last year that critical parts of the Democrats’ election technology were a “shitshow” and a “tangled morass.” He said he wanted to fix things. CONT. Issie Lapowsky, Protocol Read more »
Trump Holds Key to Republican House Chances
Key Points• Democrats remain favored to hold the House, but it’s not hard to imagine what the GOP’s path to the majority would be.• Trump is crucial to that path: A highly-nationalized presidential election that devastates the roster of Democrats in Trump-won and marginal Clinton-won House seats would represent the […] Read more »
What We Know About The Democratic Primary After Iowa
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast crew considers how the results — so far — of the Iowa caucuses will affect the Democratic primary. The team also checks in on the campaigning underway in New Hampshire and debates the meaning of the Senate’s vote to acquit President Trump. FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Fate of ‘National Security Democrats’ Provides Key to House Majority
Four months ago, seven freshman Democrats accelerated the impeachment process with an op-ed in The Washington Post. With less than a year before Election Day, their electoral fates represent a microcosm of the Republican challenge to win back the House majority. CONT. Nathan L. Gonzales, Inside Elections Read more »
Our Post-Iowa Primary Forecast Is Up, And Biden’s Chances Are Down
Now that we finally have some clarity on Iowa’s results — with 86 percent of precincts reporting — we’ve turned our primary model back on, including its estimates of the potential fallout from Iowa. The model shows former Vice President Joe Biden’s chances of winning a majority of pledged delegates […] Read more »
If Bernie Wins, Where Will He Take the Democratic Party?
… The potential pitfalls for the Democratic Party of nominating Sanders go beyond the possibility of losing to Trump again, raising the likelihood that the Senate will remain in Republican hands and threatening the re-election prospects of the 40+ Democrats who defeated Republicans in moderate districts in 2018. … Sanders’s […] Read more »