Key Points
• Democrats remain favored to hold the House, but it’s not hard to imagine what the GOP’s path to the majority would be.
• Trump is crucial to that path: A highly-nationalized presidential election that devastates the roster of Democrats in Trump-won and marginal Clinton-won House seats would represent the best possible Republican outcome.
• We have 16 ratings changes this week; 11 benefit the Republicans, although there is good news for Democrats as well. CONT.
Kyle Kondik, Sabato’s Crystal Ball