This week, we recap the fiery ninth Democratic debate. Then, we dig into the Nevada landscape leading up to the caucus this weekend. Plus, we discuss Bernie Sanders’ frontrunner status. The Forecast Fest Read more »
Sanders and the Senate
Key Points • Bernie Sanders may be a poorer fit for the Democrats’ Senate targets than some other Democratic contenders if he wins the nomination. • There are two Senate rating changes this week: Colorado moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic, while Alabama moves from Leans Republican to Likely Republican. […] Read more »
Democratic Debate Review: A Telling Final Question
The news media didn’t take very long Wednesday night to settle on a consensus interpretation of the evening’s Democratic presidential debate. Before the first commercial break had been reached, the conventional wisdom had already swept across Twitter: the evening was a victory for Elizabeth Warren and a defeat for Michael […] Read more »
Democrats are picking a nominee based on the factor they’re worst at evaluating
The incident that served as the best predictor of the 2020 Democratic presidential primary actually happened in 2011. That October, then-Gov. Rick Perry (R-Tex.) was leading the Republican field as the party tried to identify a candidate who could beat incumbent President Barack Obama. In a Washington Post-ABC News poll, […] Read more »
Do or die: Why Nevada and South Carolina are now crucial in the race for the White House
Now that the first two contests for the Democratic nomination are over, it’s time to take stock of where the race is and where it might be going. The two Nevada surveys conducted within the past week give Sen. Bernie Sanders an average of 30 percent support, and a 14-point […] Read more »
Five things we can say based on the latest polling about the Democratic race
A trio of national polls conducted after the New Hampshire primary have provided a lot of fresh data that gives us a sense of how Democrats view their choices for president. Here are five of the most interesting findings from those polls. CONT. Emily Guskin & Scott Clement, Washington Post Read more »