The results of this month’s election point toward a 2024 presidential contest that will likely be decided by a tiny sliver of voters in a rapidly shrinking list of swing states realistically within reach for either party. With only a few exceptions, this year’s results showed each side further consolidating […] Read more »
Democrats more positive about Biden post-midterms
One week after the midterm elections, a new USA Today/Ipsos poll finds that Democratic voters now have more favorable views of President Biden than they did pre-election. In contrast, while former President Trump still remains strong among Republican voters, he has lost some ground and fewer believe he can win […] Read more »
Republicans, Fear the Young
Stressed and sickened by thoughts of their rights and democracy slipping away, young Americans across gender, racial, geographic and education lines banded together last week to help save the Democrats from what many foresaw as a sizable midterm defeat. If the elections had been decided by voters 45 and older, […] Read more »
Georgia’s Runoff is the Opening Battle of the 2024 Senate Cycle
Key Points• The looming Georgia Senate runoff is both the final race of 2022 and the first race of 2024, a Senate cycle in which Democrats are playing a lot of defense.• The Democrats could run the Senate more smoothly if they can get a “real” majority of 51.• But […] Read more »
Republicans prefer Ron DeSantis to Donald Trump as their 2024 presidential nominee
Nowhere is the impact of the Republican Party’s election underperformance more apparent than in changes in how Republicans view former President Donald Trump, who announced his 2024 candidacy Tuesday, after the close of the latest Economist/YouGov Poll. Before the election, 60% of Republicans wanted Trump to run again in 2024. […] Read more »
Why no red wave?
History said there should be a red wave. After all, on average, in the 19 midterms between the end of World War II and this one, the White House party lost 27 House seats, and four in the Senate. And these were not average times. The president’s approval rating was […] Read more »