African Americans have long had a reputation for voting together, serving as a firewall for Democrats in general elections and collectively crowning the eventual nominee in Democratic presidential primaries. But that reputation is a product of party politics and a primary process that gives black voters little say until a […] Read more »
Will South Carolina Rearrange the Democratic Race?
Following the Nevada caucuses, the political narrative was pretty well settled. Bernie Sanders’ big win cemented his place as the frontrunner and the likely nominee. Biden had long counted on a South Carolina win, but his so-called firewall was looking anything but reliable. Four polls released between mid-February and the […] Read more »
‘Come to Jesus’ Moment for Dems
At the risk of adding religion to the already incendiary subject of politics, Democrats are approaching what Southerners often call a “come to Jesus” moment, namely the realization that there is a pretty good chance Bernie Sanders builds up an insurmountable lead, or close to it, on Super Tuesday. If […] Read more »
The 10th Democratic Debate Motto: Attack Bernie
This week, we break down the tenth Democratic debate and the Nevada Caucuses’ results. Then, we preview the next primaries in South Carolina and the Super Tuesday states. The Forecast Fest Read more »
Poll Hub: The Time Has Come
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the nation’s eyes turn to South Carolina where it’s make or break time for many of the Democratic presidential candidates, including Joe Biden. We assess the latest polls of South Carolina voters and share our observations as the contest moves on to Super […] Read more »
Univision Poll: Sanders support in Texas doubled over last six months, strengthened by Hispanics
Bernie Sanders looks set to go into the Texas primary as the favorite among Democrat voters. Since September, he has managed to double support for his candidacy, driven by the support of Hispanics in the state, according to a new statewide poll by Univision News and the Center for Mexican […] Read more »