We are about to enter the most important three days of the Democratic primary

Former vice president Joe Biden, once the clear leader in the Democratic Party’s nominating contest, finally has a primary victory worthy of that descriptor. Perhaps unexpectedly, it came in the cycle’s fourth contest. Expectedly, though, it came in the first state to vote where most of the voters are black. […] Read more »

Personal popularity, large black electorate throw Biden a lifeline in South Carolina

Personal popularity, a large black electorate, fewer liberals and a fondness for Obama-era policies threw a lifeline to former Vice President Joe Biden in South Carolina — while preliminary exit poll results found Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders lagging in favorability and perceived sensitivity to racial issues alike. In handing Biden […] Read more »

Voters Who’ll Support Biden — But Not Sanders — Probably Really Do Mean It

… For the last 12 years, I’ve overseen a long-running panel survey of Americans’ political attitudes that sheds light on how their political views have evolved, and one of the questions I’ve consistently asked is who panelists would back in a general election. And as of our most recent survey […] Read more »