Donald Trump’s continued presence on the American political scene is one of the reasons Republicans underperformed in this year’s midterm elections. The former president’s debilitating effect on his party was perhaps no more evident than in Georgia, where Trump’s Republican nemesis Gov. Brian Kemp cruised to reelection, while his preferred […] Read more »
Why Georgia’s seat matters for 2024: Democrats face a tough map
The immediate stakes for Tuesday’s Senate runoff in Georgia are not especially huge. The Democrats already know they will control the upper chamber of Congress since they flipped Pennsylvania’s Senate seat with John Fetterman’s win. But looking ahead to 2024, Georgia’s seat looks a lot more important as a way […] Read more »
Non-religious voters wield clout, tilt heavily Democratic
… Voters with no religious affiliation supported Democratic candidates and abortion rights by staggering percentages in the 2022 midterm elections. And they’re voting in large numbers. In 2022, some 22% of voters claimed no religious affiliation, according to AP VoteCast, an expansive survey of more than 94,000 voters nationwide. They […] Read more »
Public Has Modest Expectations for Washington’s Return to Divided Government
After a second consecutive midterm election that resulted in divided partisan control of Congress, the American public is broadly skeptical that either the president or Republican House leaders will get their programs passed into law. Most U.S. adults say President Joe Biden (65%) and Republican leaders in Congress (61%) will […] Read more »
2022’s Split Ticket States
Key Points• Among states that are finished voting this year, 5 chose candidates of different parties between their Senate and gubernatorial elections. This number is roughly in line with recent midterms.• Georgia is headed to a runoff, but Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-GA) and Brian Kemp (R-GA) placed first in their […] Read more »
The New Crossover Members of the House
Key Points• Republicans won a slim House majority at least in part by winning more victories in districts that Joe Biden carried than Democrats did in districts carried by Donald Trump.• There are currently slated to be 18 Republicans in Biden seats and just 5 Democrats in Trump seats.• Democrats […] Read more »