The state of our union is unsettled, chaotic, impossible to pin down. The state of the Democratic primary, improbably, is not. With a string of commanding victories on Tuesday — Michigan, Missouri, Mississippi, probably any other “M” state that might have bothered with a primary this week — Joe Biden […] Read more »
Exit polls show Democratic primary voters trust Biden more than Sanders in a crisis
As the US faces a growing coronavirus outbreak, preliminary findings from CNN exit polls conducted in Tuesday’s primary states show that Democratic voters trust former Vice President Joe Biden more than Sen. Bernie Sanders to handle a major crisis. … As in other states, early exit poll results from Democratic […] Read more »
Why Tonight’s Primary Results Are So Important for Bernie Sanders
The primary contests today could be the best and even last chance for Bernie Sanders to preserve his hope of winning the Democratic nomination. This might be his best chance for a simple reason: The states are relatively favorable for him, compared with the country over all. It might be […] Read more »
3 Ways The Next 2 Weeks Could Go: Even The Best Case Scenario For Sanders Doesn’t Look So Great
Our primary model is now extremely confident that former Vice President Joe Biden will win a majority of pledged delegates. … If that confidence seems misplaced — and keep in mind, our forecasts are usually more conservative than other statistical algorithms — it may be because Biden’s ascent has been […] Read more »
What the Polls Say About Today’s Primaries
Six states are holding Democratic primaries or caucuses on Tuesday: Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, North Dakota and Washington, worth a collective 352 delegates to the Democratic National Convention. There have been no recent polls by reputable organizations in North Dakota. Here is what the polls say about the other five […] Read more »
Approval of Congressional Republicans Tops Democrats
More Americans approve of the job congressional Republicans are doing than of congressional Democrats’ performance — 40% vs. 35%. … The latest readings for these measures, from a Feb. 17-28 poll, are Gallup’s first since the Dec. 18 impeachment of Trump in the U.S. House of Representatives and his subsequent […] Read more »