Bernie Sanders had a tough Tuesday night this week with primary losses in several states including Mississippi, Missouri and Idaho. But viewed through the American Communities Project the Vermont senator’s defeat in Michigan looked especially problematic with a key segment of the electorate: blue-collar voters. CONT. Dante Chinni, American Communities […] Read more »
Here Are The Voters Who Powered Biden To His ‘Big Tuesday’ Wins
Joe Biden racked up four more wins on Tuesday night, further growing his delegate lead over Bernie Sanders in what is now largely a two-person race. Exit polls showed that several broad demographic trends that have shown up in earlier states continued to hold in Tuesday’s primaries: Biden tends to […] Read more »
Is there a Sanders turnout surge?
… Sen. Bernie Sanders’s (I-Vt.) core electability argument, repeated regularly at his rallies, brags that his “is the campaign that can bring millions of people into the political process who normally do not vote.” It’s a potentially powerful case, with one critical weakness — there’s no evidence it accurately represents […] Read more »
Joe Biden’s got this
There’s every reason to believe former Vice President Joe Biden will be the Democratic nominee outside of some statistically improbable event. Biden followed his impressive victories on Super Tuesday with another round of strong performances on Super Tuesday II, and it looks like he will continue his march toward the […] Read more »
The Sanders Coalition Is Not Quite What We Thought It Was
… A crucial bloc of Sanders’s 2016 voters is no longer a part of the Democratic primary electorate. The remnant of the conservative wing of the Democratic Party that in 2016 voiced its hostility to Clinton by voting for Sanders has now turned to President Trump. Many of these former […] Read more »
Sanders’s Big Problem Isn’t the Delegate Math. It’s the Voters.
Bernie Sanders needed to fundamentally change the trajectory of the Democratic primary race after decisive defeats last week on Super Tuesday. After Tuesday’s contests, even a fundamental shift might not be enough. Joe Biden’s victories in Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri and Idaho confirm that he has seized a commanding national advantage, […] Read more »