Democrats are feeling good about their prospects in 2024. There appears to be little interest in changing their party’s image, which remains pretty terrible in most voters’ eyes. … The idea seems to be that the suburbs are full of liberal, highly-educated voters who are likely to be permanent recruits […] Read more »
What Can Losing ‘22 Dem Candidates Tell Us About ‘24 Priorities?
In politics, losing isn’t always a career ender. Presidents Barack Obama and George W. Bush both lost U.S. House contests before winning statewide office. … In recent years, however, thanks to the increasing nationalization of our politics, down-ballot candidates can quickly build a brand that goes far beyond the borders […] Read more »
How Democrats Prevented a Red Wave
By all major political indicators, 2022 should have delivered the type of shellacking that the president’s party typically endures in midterm elections: Over 70% of voters believed the country was on the wrong track, 76% rated the economy negatively, and President Biden’s approval rating of 43% has historically resulted in […] Read more »
What the Georgia Runoff Revealed
Senator Raphael Warnock’s win in yesterday’s Georgia Senate runoff capped a commanding show of strength by Democrats in the states that decided the 2020 race for the White House—and will likely pick the winner again in 2024. With Warnock’s victory over Republican Herschel Walker, Democrats have defeated every GOP Senate […] Read more »
How Trump’s legacy became ‘pure poison’ for independents
The highly touted red wave in last month’s midterm election failed to develop largely because it hit a wall of resistance among independent voters, especially across the key battleground states. And that presents difficult questions for Republicans looking forward to 2024. The GOP’s disappointing showing among independents this year marked […] Read more »
A lot of the best political messages are really boring
One of the 2022 results that surprised me was Catherine Cortez Masto’s successful re-election in Nevada. … So how did she pull it off? I think Dobbs was clearly an important factor, as it was in many states. But a new report suggests that Cortez Masto and her campaign can […] Read more »