Key Points• The Democratic lead in House generic ballot polling has been very consistent over the course of Donald Trump’s presidency.• Democrats also have a significant money edge in the lion’s share of their most vulnerable districts. Money is not everything, but it can help.• We have seven House rating […] Read more »
The fight for the Senate: A pinkie on the scale for Democrats?
Last September, I wrote in this space that small developments had given Democrats “some reason for optimism about next year’s fight for the Senate.” But I also noted the party would “need an upset or two to win control of the chamber next November.” More than seven months later, circumstances […] Read more »
I Ran Stacey Abrams’s Campaign. Black Voters Powered Us to Near Victory.
… Something nearly unthinkable happened in Georgia in 2018. More black voters, more Asian-American/Pacific Island voters and more Latino voters turned out than in the 2016 presidential election. Sure, turnout was up everywhere and at presidential levels in many states. But Georgia was the only state where midterm turnout was […] Read more »
Vote for Biden? Sanders Supporters Say It’s ‘Up in the Air’
… Despite Mr. Sanders’s call to unite behind Mr. Biden to defeat President Trump — whom the Vermont senator described as “the most dangerous president” of modern times — and despite Mr. Obama’s assurance that the party had moved left since he left office, the youthful and impassioned army of […] Read more »
The Cultural Realignment of State White Electorates in the 21st Century
At the turn of the 21st century, West Virginians were among the most Democratic state white electorates. Their level of Democratic partisanship was in the top five (along with Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Vermont, and Hawaii) and they ranked above the median state white electorate in terms of Democratic presidential voting. […] Read more »
Can the polls be trusted in 2020?
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, what can the Democratic presidential primary exit polls tell us about the general election? Larry Rosin, President of Edison Research, joins our team and shares the answer. And, can the polls be trusted in 2020? Our Poll Hub team resoundingly answers, “Yes!” Marist […] Read more »